Showing posts with label German. Show all posts
Showing posts with label German. Show all posts

Sunday, 25 October 2015

German Property Performance Survey – International Investors

The challenge for every provider of services is to understand what the ever changing needs of their clients are. In the Real Estate Consultancy business in Germany, the needs have changed dramatically with the arrival of more international investors on the scene. It was only after the German re-unification and a consolidation period that Germany became relevant for international investors. They soon realized that compared with other major economies, properties were largely undervalued. This was especially true for Berlin and ex East Germany. There were headlines like “In Berlin you can buy an apartment block for the price of a London parking garage space”!

As the word spread more and more private investors jumped on the plane and since about 2005 many have bought apartment blocks in Berlin, Leipzig and other places. The purchase process was foreign but most put their trust in what was considered German efficiency. The actual management of their property after the purchase, which had to deliver the promised yield, was hardly a big concern. So many investors just left the properties with the Property Management Company (PMC) of the previous owner and inherited all previously existing quarrels and issues.

Most property agents quickly adapted to the new situation and made sure their information was available in English including English speaking personnel. This was easy for them because of high commissions, significantly bigger than property management fees. PMCs did not have that luxury and could not keep up with the shift. And this is only one of the causes for friction and frustration between international investors and German PMCs, even though a very fundamental one.

Experiencing the disappointment and frustration of investors almost every day we produced a survey to find out more about the background, motivation and current issues of international investors engaged in the German Property Market. There were some expected but also some surprising results. We asked our clients, subscribers to our blog (which is this one you are reading right now) and visitors to our website www.falkenberg-solutions.com.

Here are some of the results:


About 43 % of property owners do not get their reporting in English even when the request was made. How can you monitor your property’s performance if you cannot understand what is happening? The only clear information is the bank account and that does not tell why something went wrong if this is the case and what should be done to improve things.


The burning issue for 50% of the respondents was the rent level of their property, they were not confident that it was at the optimum. This was followed by the readiness to sell. Both answers correspond with our observations in our daily business of consulting property owners regarding the performance improvement of their property.

On the second important issue the “Maintenance and repair cost” have it at 35.71 % followed by “Readiness to sell” and “Rent level” each at 21.43%. The overlap of first and second issues of the properties shows that the “Rent level” is the main concern then “Maintenance and repair cost” closely followed by “Readiness to sell”. The relatively low focus on the “Vacancy level” as first or second choice reflects the current market situation of high demand.


For the time and effort invested by the respondants we offered a free property health check and the choice of the specific health checks coresponded with the issues stated as being the most impotant ones in the survey. But then came the surprise: In order to perform the service we need some basic information about the properties. Only ca. 25% of the respondants provided the data necessary to perform the Property Health Check and were able to take measures for improvements. We can only speculate about the other 75% but our suspicion is that not even the basic data needed was readily available for them.


Next Steps

We are currently working with some of the respondents to either improve the performance of their properties and/or get them ready for sale. Some of the findings after a deeper involvement are shocking, e.g. in one case a claim of ca. 50,000 € against the PMC for not raising the rent in 50% of the apartments for eight years.


The survey is still open and if you own an apartment block in Germany we can only encourage you to participate and take advantage of the absolutely free Property Health Check we are offering. Here is the link to get started:



https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/germanproperty
The survey is now closed



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Friday, 23 October 2015

Germany City Ranking 2015: Munich 1, Berlin 2, Leipzig 3 and Frankfurt 4



The HWWI/Berenberg City Ranking 2015 is out. Some major shifts have occurred. For the first time Munich beat always first Frankfurt for No.1. Seven years ago when the first study was published Berlin was at No. 24 it has now reach No.2. No.3 is still not Frankfurt, it is Leipzig which has constantly made its way up the ladder from No.12 last year. Only then ranking at 4 is Frankfurt.

The ranking is determined by economic strength, demographic and other factors. One of the focus points for future developments is the positioning towards highly qualified workforce.

For the other positions of the 30 largest German cities please refer to the graph below and the full report in German at https://www.berenberg.de/fileadmin/user_upload/berenberg2013/Publikationen/HWWI_Staedteranking/2015-10-05_Staedteranking_ANSICHT_FINAL.PDF

HWWI-Berenberg City Ranking 2015 Summary Index
Source: https://www.berenberg.de/fileadmin/user_upload/berenberg2013/Publikationen/HWWI_Staedteranking/2015-10-05_Staedteranking_ANSICHT_FINAL.PDF


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Wednesday, 2 May 2012

Unemployment in Germany below 3 Million again

The unemployment figure for Germany went below 3 Million again to where is was last December. The rate is now at 7.0% after 7.2% in March 2012.

The head of the unemployment agency is quoted "The positive basic trend in the labour market is still there but has lost some of its momentum."

The decline is partially caused by seasonal effects. With these neutralised the unemployment actually rose by 19,000 but even then the standardised unemployment rate without seasonal effects for April 2012 is now set at 6.8%.

Germany remains the big exception in the European Labour Market.


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Sunday, 29 April 2012

High petrol prices are affecting the consumer

Findings of the GfK consumer climate study for Germany for April 2012

Consumer sentiment in Germany was divided in April. While the overall economic outlook was viewed more optimistically, the high level of income expectations dropped slightly, and willingness to buy saw significant losses. Following a revised value of 5.8 points in April, the overall indicator is forecasting a value of 5.6 points for May.


Consumers are evidently coming to the realization that a recession in Germany can be prevented, and the forces which boost the domestic economy are increasingly gaining the upper hand. As a result, the economic expectations have risen for the second time in a row. In contrast to this, increasing concerns about inflation are weakening consumer optimism, as shown by the decrease in willingness to buy. Consumers see their buying power as being primarily affected by the increase in energy prices. This is shown by the slight drop in income expectations.

GfK SE, Corporate Communications

Nordwestring 101
90419 Nuremberg

Full GfK Press Release .

Once again Germany and especially Berlin has become a prime investment target for Investment in the German Property Market by Private Investors and Property Funds. Property Financing has become more readily available again but much more restrictive than during the last investment cycle 2005 to 2008.

This development is supported by a constant flow of positive news from the German economy which is also provided in this blog.

Uwe Falkenberg


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Friday, 23 October 2009

October 2009: Ifo Business Climate Index Slightly Improved Again



Results of the October 2009 Ifo Business Survey


The Ifo Business Climate Index for industry and trade in Germany has risen further in October. The surveyed firms are slightly less dissatisfied with their current business situation than in September. They have again given more favourable appraisals of the business outlook for the coming six months. The economic recovery continues hesitantly.

In manufacturing the business climate is not quite as poor as it was in the previous month. The continuingly unfavourable business situation for manufacturers has improved slightly. With regard to the six-month business outlook, the survey participants are more confident than in September. Despite the appreciation of the euro, the firms see improved export opportunities. They are utilising their production capacities at a slightly higher pace than in the summer, although the utilisation rate is still far below average. The firms are planning to slow down the pace of staff reductions somewhat.

In wholesaling the business climate index has risen further. The survey participants report a clearly improved business situation in comparison to the previous month. Their appraisal of the business outlook is somewhat more critical, however. Retailers are more dissatisfied with their current business situation. They are also more sceptical regarding the six-month business outlook than in September. As a result, the business climate in retailing has worsened.

In construction the business climate remains largely unchanged. The firms are slightly more dissatisfied with their current business situation but have given more favourable assessments of their business outlook than in the previous month.

Hans-Werner Sinn President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.

For details and graphs there is a pdf download available, click here.

For support in the identification of the right investment targets please visit our website at www.berlin-portfolio.com. Especially for international Private Investors and Property Funds we provide a task force service for quick reaction to interesting opportunities.

We provide independent support for the property search including foreclosure or auction properties and their valuation or appraisal. (Also see our free property market Research Service)

Please use this link to the contact facilities provided there to place any requests .

Uwe Falkenberg


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Thursday, 24 September 2009

September 2009: Ifo Business Climate Index Slightly Improved Again

The Ifo Business Climate for industry and trade in Germany has brightened further in September. Appraisals of the business situation and outlook have improved. However, by far the greater number of firms still assesses the business situation as poor. Only with regard to the six-month business outlook is there now nearly a balance between pessimists and optimists. In light of the catastrophic developments over the past twelve months, this is good news.

In manufacturing the business climate indicator has recovered somewhat. The manufacturing firms no longer regard their present business conditions quite so negatively as in the previous month. They also anticipate a somewhat more favourable course of business in the coming half year. With regard to exports, their scepticism has subsided. However, more firms are now planning to reduce the number of their employees.

In wholesaling and in retailing the business climate index has risen. In both distribution sectors, the survey participants are less critical regarding business developments in the coming half year. However, the wholesalers are nearly just as dissatisfied with their current business situation as in the previous month. In contrast, retailers have given slightly more favourable appraisals of their present business situation than in August, assessing it now as nearly satisfactory.

In construction the business climate has clouded over somewhat. Although the survey participants have assessed their present business similarly to that in August, with regard to business in the coming half year they are more sceptical than in the previous survey.

Hans-Werner Sinn
President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

For support in the identification of the right investment targets please visit our website at www.berlin-portfolio.com. Especially for international Private Investors and Property Funds we provide a task force service for quick reaction to interesting opportunities.

We provide independent support for the property search including foreclosure or auction properties and their valuation or appraisal. (Also see our free property market Research Service)

Please use this link to the contact facilities provided there to place any requests .

Uwe Falkenberg


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Friday, 4 September 2009

Cautious optimism for German property

Property Week.com reports 04.09.09:

Europe’s largest economy may have officially emerged from recession, but its property market is not getting carried away

Germany’s real estate sector is still coming to terms with the global financial crisis.

For one, the banks still have to wrestle with toxic legacy assets, and the government’s plans for a ‘bad bank’ have yet to be implemented.

The government also needs to continue to support Hypo Real Estate and Commerzbank. The market is awaiting a revival of Hypo, recently renamed as Deutsche Pfandbriefbank, following its nationalisation in March.

Keep it covered

But with increased issues in recent months of pfandbriefs – the covered bonds that give German banks low-cost funding – there is optimism that some liquidity will return to the market. In the second quarter of 2009, there were €35.8bn (£31bn) of issues. Although this represented a fall of 27% on the same period last year, it was a 91% increase on the first quarter of 2009, when only €18.75bn (£16bn) of bonds were issued. This has given confidence to banks such as Eurohypo, which is actively streamlining its activities.

Germany’s open-ended funds, one of the linchpins of the country’s real estate market, have also been making quiet progress.

Following a disastrous period last November, in which many barred redemptions to protect their liquidity, funds such as SEB’s Immoinvest and DEGI’s International have reopened, and others have started to take advantage of the low prices in global property investment markets.

In July, Deka ventured into Australia to purchase the 430,560 sq ft (40,000 sq m) office building at 15 William Street in Melbourne and the 236,808 sq ft (22,000 sq m) Australian Tax Office building in Perth for a combined €150m (£129m) for its ImmobilienGlobal fund.

In the same month, AXA’s Immoselect fund bought the 420,000 sq ft (39,018 sq m) Antegnate mall in the northern Italian city of Bergamo for more than €150m (£129m).

As Germans go to the polls on 27 September, they will be comforted by the fact that their economy is over the worst. This news will also provide some glimmers of hope for Angela Merkel, who looks set to be returned as chancellor.

That, in turn, may lead to more proactive government measures to assist a recovery in German real estate.


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Wednesday, 26 August 2009

August 2009 German Ifo Business Climate Improved again

Ifo Business Climate Brightens Again
Results of the August 2009 Ifo Business Survey

The Ifo Business Climate for industry and trade in Germany improved once again in August. For the second time in succession the firms have assessed their current business situation clearly less negatively. However, in comparison to conditions one year ago, the situation of the firms is still considerably worse at the moment. With regard to business developments in the coming half year, the survey participants are less sceptical than in July. The German economy is slowly recovering from its descent.

In manufacturing the business climate is less unfavourable than in the previous month. Some easing of the difficult business situation has occurred, according to the survey responses. Nevertheless, on the whole the firms are dissatisfied with current business, but they no longer expect a worsening in the coming half year. The manufacturing firms have also given less sceptical assessments of their export opportunities. Planned reductions of their staff levels are no longer quite so sharp. Still, their plans remained clearly geared towards cuts in employment.

The business climate in wholesaling has clearly improved. The current business situation has been assessed noticeably less sceptically by the firms than in the previous month. The wholesalers are also less reserved with regard to the six-month outlook. In retailing the business climate index has risen somewhat. Although the retailers are again slightly more dissatisfied with their current business situation, they are less pessimistic regarding business developments in the coming six months.

In construction the business climate has brightened somewhat. The survey participants have assessed their present business slightly more favourably than in the previous month. With regard to future business, their caution remains largely unchanged.

Hans-Werner Sinn
President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Detailed material including Graphs and Tables are available on the ifo-website.


The overall picture for the developments in Germany in July 2009 looks promising continues on in August:
Business Climate July 2009- up link
Consumer Climate July 2009 - up link
Unemployment July 2009 - lower than feared link

For support in the identification of the right investment targets please visit our website at www.berlin-portfolio.com. Especially for international Private Investors and Property Funds we provide a task force service for quick reaction to interesting opportunities.

We provide independent support for the property search including foreclosure or auction properties and their valuation or appraisal. (Also see our free property market Research Service)

Please use this link to the contact facilities provided there to place any requests .

Uwe Falkenberg


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Thursday, 30 July 2009

Lower Increase in Unemployment Rate in Germany July 2009


In June the number of registered unemployed had gone down to everybody's surprise. It was clear that this would change in July. Still this month held another surprise. The figures released today were lower than expected.

The unemployment figure rose by 52,000 (now 3.46 million) according to the monthly statement publich by the "Bundesargentur für Arbeit" on 30.07.2009. Experts expected ca. 100,000.

The delay of the impact of the current recession on the labour market is due to government subsidised "Kurzarbeit" where employees do not get laid off but work shorter hours.

Together with the positive signal from the consumer climate index and the business climate index in July 2009 this is another piece of good news needed so badly right now.

The warnings for the labour market are not gone yet but there is hope for a lower drop and possibly a faster recovery than anticipated so far.

For background information on the development of the German Property Market and opportunities in the rental market please view www.berlin-portfolio.com.

Uwe Falkenberg


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